**Wagar's first future**
According to Wagar, the first future is "globalized liberal democratic capitalism". Developing new technology will create new market, and political democracy will help to keep this system. However, it will break up because of 2 reasons. For one thing, liberal capitalism system produces rich and poor, winner and loser, so poor and loser will complain about it. For another, this system needs large amount of money, so it will break up economically. Also, young people cannot join this liberal capitalism, so they will make the movement to change this system, and it will move on to second future, "democratic socialism".
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